TL;DR:
- Flávio Bolsonaro: 47.03% (56.1 million votes)
- Lula: 45.16% (53.9 million votes)
The result was much better for the far right than I expected. It’s now very difficult to see Bolsonaro losing the second round.
My feeling that we were heading for a repeat of 2018 was right. At least this time, it won’t come as a surprise.
Prepare for an Americas increasingly dominated by the right and far right.
Europe may soon find itself as one of the last major strongholds of liberal democracy, until the far right takes power in France and/or Germany, which increasingly seems to be the direction we’re heading.

