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Rick Thoman

@AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
mastodon 4.7.2
  • Open on alaskan.social

Climate specialist with ACCAP/IARC at UAF, highlighting Alaska climate, environment & Indigenous cultures. Opinions are my own. I've been fascinated by #Arctic & #boreal #weather, #climate and #cultures for more than 50 years. I've worked as a weather & climate professional in private, public & academic spheres. I've been fortunate to live most of my life in Lower Tanana #Dene country near Fairbanks, #Alaska. Also, I have a big interest in Alaska Indigenous languages.

3091 Followers
387 Following
50 Posts
Joined June 10, 2023
Pronouns:
he/him
Alaska and Arctic Climate Newsletter:
https://alaskaclimate.substack.com/
Many of my Alaska climate graphics at::
https://uaf-accap.org/accap-projects/graphics/
Open post
Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 10h ago
Boosted by @Dragofix@veganism.social
Ex typhoon Choi-Wan is forecast to merge with a separate storm in the far southwestern Bering Sea and then dramatically deepen tonight and tomorrow morning. ECMWF has a 942 mb low off the Russian coast Thursday morning. Storm will likely wobble around and weaken significantly before crossing into Alaska water later Friday. Graphic courtesy PolarWx. @Climatologist49@fediscience.org @Jdnome@alaskan.social#akwx #weather
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4d ago
Boosted by @kcarruthers@infosec.exchange
Sea surface temperatures around Alaska for the week ending October 2 feature water warmer the normal in the open Gulf of Alaska but near normal near the coast. Western and northern Bering Sea warm but southeast Bering remains cool. Mostly below normal north of the Bering Strait although above normal near the Alaskan coast. Data from NOAA/PSL/ESRL. @Climatologist49@fediscience.org @ZLabe@fediscience.org#akwx #Arctic #SST
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 2w ago
The Chena River in downtown Fairbanks is at the highest level on record (since 1948) at this point in the season. No wonder: total rainfall for the month through the 19th: Fairbanks Aprt: 3.80", UAF: 4.03" South Fox: 4.41" Keystone Ridge (Murphy Dome area): 6.60" Munson Ridge (south of Chena Hot Springs): 8.9" Graphic courtesy NWS/APRFC @anisian@alaskan.social @mivox@mivox.net#akwx #weather #hydrology
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 2mo ago
Arctic Today with a sea ice story. Always a plus to be in the same story as @ZLabe@fediscience.org 🙂 https://www.arctictoday.com/arctic-ice-hits-record-lows-on-the-atlantic-side-as-the-us-cuts-back-on-tracking-it/ #Arctic #SeaIce
arctictoday.com
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

In case you’re wondering about the status of the start of melt season on the Greenland Ice Sheet, keep on wondering…
#Arctic #Climate

alaskan.social
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 2mo ago
#Tanacross #Dene #Alaska #language ts'éninṯẖiit! "wake up!" ts'enihthet "I woke up" nátaat̲h̲et "s/he will stand" nén’ tidaxdint̲h̲et "the world is messed up" naa tidaxdint̲h̲et "that place is bad" n’éɬ s̲h̲iikanítáat̲h̲eɬ "good luck in the future (for good deeds)" @ScoterD@alaskan.social @transitionalaspect@fnordon.de
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago

#SilentSunday #Alaska #Spring

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Open post
Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago

Sea ice continues to melt rapidly in the Bering Sea and extent is now below the 1991-2020 median. Small remanent of the extensive ice in the southeast Bering in late March remains in Bristol Bay. The open water area along the North Slope Chukchi Sea coast is normal this time of year. @Climatologist49@fediscience.org @ZLabe@fediscience.org

#akwx #Arctic #SeaIce

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Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

Birch Hill, Fairbanks, Alaska in spring-green finery. Photo from Creamers Field. #akwx #Alaska #Spring2026

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Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago

Sea ice extent in the Bering Sea dropped by more than 20 percent in the past week in NSIDC data. This was mostly the result of thin ice in the southeast Bering Sea melting away in stormy weather. Small areas of lower concentration ice near the Alaska Chukchi Sea coast are normal this time of year. @Climatologist49@fediscience.org @ZLabe@fediscience.org

#akwx #Arctic #SeaIce

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 2mo ago
Very warm July (relative to normal) in western Siberia and much of central and eastern Canadian Arctic. Cooler than normal for most of Alaska, northwest Canada, the Russian far northeast and the Nordic Arctic. For the Arctic overall (land and seas north of 60ºN), third warmest July since 1950 in ERA5 reanalysis. @Climatologist49@fediscience.org#Arctic #Climate #Summer2026
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 2mo ago
Replying to
@Strongbow@mastodon.nu @ZLabe@fediscience.org Arctic sea ice extent is fourth lowest for this date in NSIDC data. 2012 was the lowest annual minimum extent. https://noaadata.apps.nsidc.org/NOAA/G02135/seaice_analysis/Sea_Ice_Index_Daily_Extent_G02135_v4.0.xlsx
noaadata.apps.nsidc.org
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Open post
Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 3mo ago
Boosted by @Dragofix@veganism.social
The complete loss of cold years in the Arctic since the 1980s is astounding. The last "blue" stripe was 1992, following the Pinatubo Volcano eruption in the summer of 1991. #ShowYourStripes #Climate #Arctic
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago
Part 2 of the Arctic Summers and El Niño climate analysis is now posted in the Alaska and Arctic Climate newsletter. This is the first AAC newsletter that is cross-posted on Beehiiv and Substack. We'll see how this goes. @Climatologist49@fediscience.orghttps://alaska-arctic-climate.beehiiv.com/p/arctic-summer-and-el-ni-o-part-2 https://alaskaclimate.substack.com/p/arctic-summer-and-el-nino-part-2 #Arctic #Climate #ElNino
Arctic Summer and El Niño, Part 2
Alaska and Arctic Weather and Climate

Arctic Summer and El Niño, Part 2

Warm and dry prevalent

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Open post
Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago

Lovely sunny Thursday at Nome (26F, -3.3C at Noon AKDT), with the Nome National Forest hanging tough on the shorefast sea ice. Nome sea ice radar shows the shorefast ice is currently stable out to about 3.5 miles from town. #akwx #SeaIce @Jdnome@alaskan.social

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago

Much of southwest Alaska, Interior and Southcentral areas were noticeably lacking in sunshine in April. In parts of the western Interior and Susitna valley, this was the least April sunshine since 1979. ERA5 Data courtesy @CopernicusECMWF@masto.ai and graphic courtesy @Climatologist49@fediscience.org.

#akwx #Climate #Spring2026

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

If you’re in Fairbanks today (Thursday), come on out to the 2026 edition of the Arctic Research Open House at UAF this afternoon 4-7pm. I’ll be there: stop by the ACCAP table in Akasofu Building and let's chat about anything Alaska weather and climate related. It’s always a good time. #akwx @anisian@alaskan.social @mivox@mivox.net

https://www.uaf.edu/news/uaf-to-host-free-arctic-research-open-house-may-14.php

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

No, the upper air observation situation in Alaska is not getting better. Alaska Wednesday afternoon 50 percent of possible upper air observations were missing. But thanks for asking. #weather

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Open post
Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

Sea ice is on the way out for the season in the Bering Sea. Increasing areas of moderate concentration ice in the southern Chukchi and large area open water persisting west of the North Slope coast: overall sea ice extent in the Chukchi Sea the lowest for May 30 since 2022. @Climatologist49@fediscience.org @ZLabe@fediscience.org

#akwx #Arctic #SeaIce

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago
Boosted by @Dragofix@veganism.social
Bare ground is emerging across Alaska and northwest Canada as the winter snowpack melts out. The IMS analysis this time of year usually runs a few days behind, e.g. low elevations in the Copper River basin are mostly now snow free, as is the Yukon River valley Dawson to Eagle. Data from NSIDC courtesy NIC. @Climatologist49@fediscience.org#akwx #weather #Climate
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago
Replying to
@ai6yr@m.ai6yr.org @BakerRL75@m.ai6yr.org @ingalls@mstdn.ca @DismalManorGang@mastodon.online @technodad@cunnin.me This sounds very much like the system that was in place in the mid-1980s when I applied for a meteorologist position with NWS. Your application went into a “register”, when vacancies occurred in the geographic area(s) you were interested in, your application was sent to the hiring official.
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

High temperatures (ºF) in and around Alaska on Sunday. Mildest day of the month in parts of southwest Alaska and upper Bristol Bay. A bit milder in Southeast and Gulf of Alaska coast. Slightly cooler in the northern Interior. #akwx #weather

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

As May ends the transition to summer in the Arctic is right on track. Update on snow and ice melt in the latest from the Alaska Arctic Climate Newsletter. @Climatologist49@fediscience.org

https://alaska-arctic-climate.beehiiv.com/p/may-2026-sea-ice-and-snow-update

https://alaskaclimate.substack.com/p/may-2026-sea-ice-and-snow-update

#Arctic #Climate #Spring2026

alaska-arctic-climate.beehiiv.com
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Open post
Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago
Replying to
@Jdnome@alaskan.social Not sure what that's about Nome reporting as normal, as are alternates.
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago
Replying to
@Jdnome@alaskan.social A step down since the merge with Hawaiian.
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago

As of late Saturday evening, Fairbanks (UAF West Ridge) snow depth was still 15 inches. But with low temps above freezing three nights in a row and highs in the 50s, that will quickly drop to "none" in coming days. The median winter snowpack melt out date over the past 50 years is April 23. @Climatologist49@fediscience.org @anisian@alaskan.social @mivox@mivox.net

#akwx #Spring2026 #Snow

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

Alaska spinny thing Wednesday afternoon. About a 978 hPa low centered near Adak in the central Aleutians with a well developed occlusion over the southeast Bering Sea. #akwx #weather

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Open post
Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

Downtown Fairbanks Tuesday 600am: bright and sunny, calm, 37F (2.8C). #MyAlaskaWx

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago

Ice went out on the Yukon River at Dawson, Yukon Territory Tuesday afternoon (May 5). This is a few days later than average by modern standards but would have been earlier than usual prior to 1970. Data courtesy https://yukonriverbreakup.com/

@Climatologist49@fediscience.org
#ytwx #Climate #Hydrology

yukonriverbreakup.com
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

From KYUK in Bethel, Alaska: "I'm worrying about their being able to heat their homes, fuel their cars, all my village agents in 73 villages fueling up their four-wheeler to meet the plane. This is, it's gonna affect every aspect of life in Western Alaska…”

https://www.kyuk.org/economy/2026-05-20/western-alaska-prepares-to-lock-in-what-may-be-unaffordably-high-fuel-prices-for-the-year

kyuk.org
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

Downtown Fairbanks Sunday 430pm AKDT: rain and thunder. #MyAlaskaWx

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

High temperatures (ºF) in and around Alaska on Sunday. Continued very mild northwest Arctic with a new record high temperature for the date at Kotzebue (59F, 15.0C). Warmest day of the year so far in the northeast Interior. However, quite cool on the Gulf of Alaska and the southeast Bering Sea coasts. #akwx #weather

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago
Replying to
@mivox@mivox.net @anisian@alaskan.social Yes, NWS made the call for Chena Ridge green-up this afternoon.
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago
Replying to
@mivox@mivox.net @anisian@alaskan.social Green-up day and Arctic Research Open House. How lovely.
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago
Replying to
@anisian@alaskan.social Yes, I’m eternally grateful to them for keeping Keystone Ridge climate alive and well. Coming up on 30-year anniversary of the station establishment.
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago

High temperatures (ºF) in and around Alaska on Tuesday. Near to below normal most areas except for southern Southeast and most of the Yukon Territory and British Columbia. #akwx #weather

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago
Replying to
@BakerRL75@m.ai6yr.org @ai6yr@m.ai6yr.org @ingalls@mstdn.ca @DismalManorGang@mastodon.online @technodad@cunnin.me Advertising for met positions now means new hires will be able to contribute to Hurricane Season 2027.
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago
Replying to
@anisian@alaskan.social I’m so glad my precip gauge found a good home. 💙
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 2mo ago
Early look at July average temperature departures around the Arctic. Very warm across western into central Siberia and in much of the eastern Canadian Arctic. Cooler than average over most of Alaska and the northern Canadian Arctic Islands. Graphic courtesy K. Haustein. #Arctic #Climate Summer2026 @Climatologist49@fediscience.org
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

Downtown Fairbanks Wednesday 600am: Partly sunny, slight breeze, 44F (6.7C). #MyAlaskaWx

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago

Downtown Fairbanks Thursday 600am: Cloudy, bit of a breeze, 37F (2.8C). Still some piles of plowed snow yet to melt. #MyAlaskaWx

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

High temperatures (ºF) in and around Alaska on Monday. Cooler in northwest Alaska and still chilly on the Gulf of Alaska coast. Mildest in the upper Yukon valley. #akwx #weather

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago

High temperatures (ºF) in and around Alaska on Wednesday. Much cooler in Southeast Alaska and NW Canada than early in the week. Below normal almost everywhere in the region except on the North Slope coast. #akwx #weather

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 2mo ago
For the fourth consecutive year, the Northwest Territories, Canada has the vast majority of the wildfire in the northern North America. Season isn't over, but the proportions are not likely to change much in next eight weeks. @Climatologist49@fediscience.org @BakerRL75@m.ai6yr.org#Summer2026 #Wildfire
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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 5mo ago

Early look at April 2026 temperature departures around the Arctic. Much warmer than normal across nearly the entire Arctic Ocean as well as on land from Greenland eastward across European Arctic. Much colder than average across most of the Canadian Arctic. Mixed in Alaska and far northeast Russia. Graphic courtesy K. Haustein. #Arctic #Climate

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

Cordova, Alaska (Eyak country) was cool and soggy in May: coolest May (3.2F below normal) since 1985 and most May rain (12.96 inches) since 1989. No wonder it’s been a backwards spring. #akwx #Climate

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

High temperature in May at Utqiaġvik, Alaska was only 29F (-1.7C). This is the second lowest May high temperature in the past 105 years. Only lower was May 1952, when the high was 28F (-2.2C). #akwx #Climate #Spring2026 @Climatologist49@fediscience.org @cinderbdt@mastodon.sdf.org

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 2mo ago
For a nerd-level dive into the current state of El Niño outlooks, this post from @hausfath@fediscience.org is quite informative. #weather #Climate https://www.theclimatebrink.com/p/the-strongest-el-nino-ever
The Strongest El Niño Ever
theclimatebrink.com

The Strongest El Niño Ever

With all the July runs in, dynamical models give a ~90% chance of a record-setting event

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

High temperatures (ºF) in and around Alaska on Tuesday. Continued rainy and chilly on the northern Gulf of Alaska coast. Mild in the Upper Yukon valley. Still staying below freezing on the northern North Slop coast. #akwx #weather

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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Rick Thoman @AlaskaWx@alaskan.social
· 4mo ago

Downtown Fairbanks Monday 600am: Cloudy, bit of a breeze, a little rain overnight but not currently, 47F (8.3C). #MyAlaskaWx

alaskan.social

Alaskan Social

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