mastodon 4.7.2I like stuff, both new and old. #ActuallyAutistic 
, interested in everything, and completely unable to focus on one interest for very long because I’m #TwiceExceptional. Hate is never okay. Pronouns: he/him/his
I’m a #SoftwareEngineer at #GitLab. 
I’ve been hacking away at keyboards since I was 5 years old.
openpgp4fpr:053bad760b03f08c1ae9d8b5d4890255dbe5b65d
This is a personal account. My views are my own and do not reflect those of my employer.
If you are following the #USPresidentialElection via #FiveThirtyEight and are worried about what you’re seeing there, please allow me to direct your attention to a line of text you likely missed on the page:
“538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes.”
In other words, it’s all made up from unreliable data that probably doesn’t reflect reality as much as it does historic biases. Ignore it, calm yourself, and have a good weekend. 🧘
The fact that so many low-quality polls which support a particular party and/or candidate should tell you what’s really happening in US politics.
Those polls are intended to back a disinformation campaign that the credulous repeat without critical thought to convince low-information voters and those “on the fence“ to pick the obvious winner.” In reality, they’re losing and they know it. Ignore the polls and vote your conscience.
When is #FiveThirtyEight going to realize they’re being played as part of a disinformation campaign using large numbers of misleading polls to shift public perception?
That’s a trick question. They acknowledge on their page that their information can be misleading, and then proceed to misuse analytical statistics methods to generate bogus projections. The predictions are never wrong, you see - it was only a probability!
Ignore them and move on.
