On glacial lake outbursts from 2025 https://risingnepaldaily.com/news/65374
Begins with a list of then-recent events in Nepal. July 7 2025 also swept away the bridge before the big border building Nepal/Tibet we saw getting buried on Wednesday.
Then it summarises recent research.
But Wednesday was a mountain fall, no glacier collapse nor a lake.
Wednesday morning at 9am, a huge chunk of the mountain broke off and crashed into the valley 1km below. It pulled with it the glacier tongue. The ice melted on the way down.
This brand new article describes how scientists came to this conclusion https://www.science.org/content/article/how-scientists-unraveled-cause-devastating-flood-tibet-and-nepal
"How scientists unraveled the cause of the devastating flood in Tibet and Nepal"
Judging form the first satellite images, they found the amount of vanished glacier ice wouldn't have been enough to cause the seismic disturbance of a 5.7mag quake.
Then a new set of images came online and made clear to the researchers that it was the mountain side that broke off. ' “The glacier just came along for the ride,” Ekström says. '
First the mountain 💣, then the glacier. That's also the sequence from Klein Nesthorn, Birch Glacier and Blatten in May 2025.
In mid May, first, a huge chunk from the mountain top broke off and fell on the Birch glacier. The sheer weight of the rock destabilised the glacier and increased its downflow speed. On May 28 2025, the glacier rushed into the Lötschtal and buried Blatten.
' Byers points a finger at the gradual thawing of high-altitude #permafrost, which binds rock and ice together. Other researchers hope to assess whether snow melted in the days leading up to the event, causing water to seep into and destabilize the rock. Furthermore, if the glacier was buttressing the mountain, any melt could have removed an important support system. “Landslides have been occurring as long as the mountains have been building,” Ekström says. But “in areas where glaciers are disappearing, these landslides are occurring more frequently.” '
Daniel Swain in his live "pop-up-session" said, he found heavy rain events before Wednesday. RAIN. On high mountains…
***
When rain water fills rock fissures , the pressure from the water works like dynamite.
My takeaway: whatever the infamous anti-alarmism delayers tell me, like, how attribution to climate were impossible? I don't believe them. Ever.
#Nepal #flood #climateChange #ClimateAttribution
#climateattribution
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The report #OilCompanies are worried about: #ClimateAttribution science
New report says our ability to tie weather damages to #ClimateChange is improving.
John Timmer – Jul 17, 2026
Excerpt: "Climate change is being driven largely by the greenhouse gases we’ve pumped into the atmosphere, which trap more of the Sun’s energy there. That added energy increases the odds of extreme events: longer, more intense heat waves and droughts, interspersed with excessive precipitation. But these sorts of events have happened in the past—how can we tell if any given weather disaster has been made more likely by the climate?
"It’s a question with implications for everything from building codes to disaster preparedness. And there’s some good news: According to a report released by the US National Academies of Science on Thursday, the field of climate attribution is growing increasingly mature and can answer some questions for us with far greater confidence than it could just a decade ago. The report also notes that there are still important limits and suggests steps to address them.
"Overall, this makes it clear that climate attribution is normal, mainstream science. And the #FossilFuel industry views that as a problem, as it could make it easier to hold companies liable for damages. This has triggered a backlash that has Republicans in Congress and state governments threatening the National Academies’ funding."
Read more:
https://arstechnica.com/science/2026/07/national-academies-climate-attribution-is-maturing-but-still-has-limits/
#BigOil #BigOilAndGas #BigOilKnew #Oiligarchy #FossilFools #CimateCrisis #CorporateColonialism #ScienceDeniers #MakePollutersPay
Replying to
#ClimateAttribution map
"Across all these cases, 74% were made more likely or severe because of #ClimateChange. This includes multiple cases where scientists found that an extreme was virtually impossible without human influence on global temperatures."
Another recent advance is “impact #attribution”, which quantifies the social, economic and/or ecological impacts arising from the influence of climate change on extreme weather."
https://interactive.carbonbrief.org/attribution-studies/index.html
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