mastodon 4.7.2Political scientist & economist obsessed with data and on a mission to turn it into actionable information. Been mostly active on Twitter, where I've reported on the war in 🇺🇦.
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — APR 16, 2026
■ Major 🇷🇺 overnight attack wave: 659 strike drones (97% intercepted), 44 missiles (31 intercepted)
■ Engagements and casualties slightly above average; no territorial change
■ 🇷🇺 drone losses below average; unarmored vehicle losses slightly above average
■ 7 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 🇷🇺 drone launches, shelling, and air strikes above average
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://datastudio.google.com/s/iSy_fXsK068
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — APR 2, 2026
■ Fewer engagements, but highest casualties in four days; 🇷🇺 gains of 63 km² confirmed
■ 2nd-highest drone losses to date; land-based equipment losses below average
■ Overnight 🇷🇺 drone attacks below average, but interception rate could be better
■ 3 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 🇷🇺 drone launches above average; 30-day strike ratio >20×
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/pyo3jBdDBr8
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — APR 25, 2026
■ Major 🇷🇺 attack wave: 619 drone attacks, 94% intercepted; 30 of 47 missiles intercepted; 32 locations hit
■ Most engagements this month, highest casualties in two weeks; no confirmed territorial changes
■ Increased drone and land-based equipment losses but still below average
■ 10 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 🇷🇺 air strikes above average, while other strike indicators below average
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://datastudio.google.com/s/rhALDEsOXA4
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — APR 6, 2026
■ Fewest engagements in over a month; lowest casualties this month; no confirmed territorial change
■ Fewer drone losses; significant land-based equipment losses; highest 7-day artillery losses this year so far
■ 🇷🇺 air attacks below average; interception rate could be better
■ Double-digit 🇺🇦 strikes reported; all 🇷🇺 strike indicators below average
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/heO9R7LZMl4
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — APR 8, 2026
■ Casualties remain below average despite increased engagements; no confirmed territorial changes
■ Land-based equipment losses remain above average; highest 7-day artillery losses this year so far
■ 🇷🇺 overnight attacks below average; interception rate decent
■ 6 🇺🇦 strikes reported; all 🇷🇺 strike indicators below average
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/lidmMqpnnFY
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — APR 26, 2026
■ Engagements and casualties below average; no confirmed territorial changes
■ Considerable drone losses (12th-highest); high artillery losses
■ 🇷🇺 overnight attacks: all drones; interception rate could be better
■ Most 🇺🇦 strikes this month so far; 🇷🇺 drone launches and shelling above average
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://datastudio.google.com/s/iK7krsaY9sY
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — APR 5, 2026
■ Casualties above average despite fewer engagements; no confirmed territorial change
■ 5th-highest drone losses; land-based equipment losses also above average
■ 🇷🇺 air attacks below average; interception rate could be better
■ 3 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 🇷🇺 MLRS and air strikes above average
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/qBKi60-DEXg
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — APR 3, 2026
■ High level of engagements; casualties above average; 🇺🇦 reclaims 7 km²
■ Relatively few drone losses; heavy artillery losses
■ 🇷🇺 air attacks ongoing; overview not yet released
■ 6 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 🇷🇺 MLRS strikes above average; 30-day strike ratio >20×
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/s29ise1HBD8
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — APR 10, 2026
■ Engagements and casualties above average, but no confirmed territorial changes
■ 9th-highest 🇷🇺 drone losses; land-based equipment losses include one tank and five APVs
■ Overnight attacks below average; interception rate improved
■ 87 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 2nd-highest 🇷🇺 drone launches
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/rk0Yl6ba5R4
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — APR 9, 2026
■ Casualties below average while engagements were slightly above average; no confirmed territorial changes
■ 8th-highest drone losses; highest 7-day artillery losses this year so far
■ KIU officer death batch: +36, including one lieutenant general and six senior officers
■ 🇷🇺 overnight attacks below average; interception rate decent
■ 8 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 3rd-highest 🇷🇺 drone launches, MLRS strikes also above average
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — APR 4, 2026
■ Fewer engagements; casualties slightly below average; no confirmed territorial change
■ 5th-highest drone losses; highest artillery losses so far this year
■ 🇷🇺 air attacks below average; interception rate decent
■ 3 🇺🇦 strikes reported; record 🇷🇺 drone launches, with MLRS and air strikes also above average
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/ktj84JBYwAs
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — MARCH 2026
■ First three months: 91k 🇷🇺 casualties, of which 24k are presumed dead; 547 officer deaths confirmed
■ Highest monthly casualties and equipment losses so far this year
■ 74 km² net 🇺🇦 gains in March (🇷🇺 net gains in 2026 down to 150 km²)
■ Visually confirmed equipment ratio up from the previous month; improved interception of drones and missiles
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/kuE6ntrridQ
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — MAR 31, 2026
■ Engagements and casualties remain well below average; 7 days since last confirmed territorial change
■ 4th-highest 🇷🇺 drone losses; land-based equipment losses slightly below average
■ Visually confirmed equipment batch: 0.8× 🇷🇺/🇺🇦 (above 2026 average)
■ 🇷🇺 drone attacks above average but with good interception rate
■ 3 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 🇷🇺 air strikes above average; 30-day strike ratio rising
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/r4KATk3ud2c
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — APR 1, 2026
■ Casualties below average despite increased engagements; 8 days since last confirmed territorial change
■ Land-based equipment losses above average; drone losses slightly below average
■ 🇷🇺 drone attacks above average; interception rate could be better
■ 6 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 🇷🇺 strikes and drone launches above average; 30-day strike ratio >20×
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://lookerstudio.google.com/s/sB5Pc4rdL6Y
⚡️ RUSSIA'S WAR AGAINST UKRAINE — APR 27, 2026
■ Most engagements this month so far, and far more than expected based on the evening report
■ Casualties and equipment losses well below average; no confirmed territorial changes
■ Relatively few overnight attacks (all drones); interception rate on the lower side
■ 3 🇺🇦 strikes reported; 🇷🇺 MLRS and air strikes above average
📈 See dashboard for full data:
https://datastudio.google.com/s/ly2dKWa4KE4