mastodon 4.8.0-nightly.2026-10-06📊🗺🗳 Poll aggregation and election analysis in Europe #EP2029
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Hungary, List vote, 31.0% counted:
National parliament election
TISZA-EPP: 52.0% (+0.8)
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 39.4% (-0.7)
MH-ESN: 6.1%
DK-S&D: 1.2%
MKKP→G/EFA: 0.8%
+/- vs. 22.1% counted
➤ europeelects.eu/hungary
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Italy: right-wing Lega (PfE) falls to a record low of 5.8%, its weakest result since July 2014, in the latest Ipsos poll.
UK (GB), Ipsos poll:
REFORM~NI: 25% (-3)
LAB-S&D: 19% (-2)
CON~ECR: 19% (+2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 17%
LDEM-RE: 14% (+5)
RESTORE-*: 3% (new)
SNP-G/EFA: 2% (-2)
PC-G/EFA: 1% (+1)
+/- vs. 5-11 March 2026
Fieldwork: 09-15 April 2026
Sample size: 1,044
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
Bulgaria, Gallup International poll:
PB-*: 32% (+4)
GERB-SDS-EPP: 21% (-2)
PP-DB-RE|EPP: 11%
DPS-NN-NI: 10% (-1)
V-ESN: 7%
BSPOL-S&D: 4% (+1)
Siyanie-G/EFA: 3%
ITN-ECR: 3%
MECh-*: 3%
...
+/- vs. 20-30 March 2026
Fieldwork: 08-16 April 2026
Sample size: 803
➤ europeelects.eu/bulgaria
🗳️ Bulgaria heads to the polls this Sunday for the 8th time in five years to elect a new national parliament.
Polls suggest that the newly founded party of former president Rumen Radev, Progresivna Bŭlgariya (PB), could significantly reshape the political landscape.
📊 Electoral Calendar: https://europeelects.eu/calendar
Austria, Market-Lazersfeld poll:
FPÖ-PfE: 38% (+1)
ÖVP-EPP: 20% (+2)
SPÖ-S&D: 18% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
NEOS-RE: 7%
KPÖ-LEFT: 3% (-1)
+/- vs. 06-07 April 2026
Fieldwork: 13-14 April 2026
Sample size: 2,000
➤ europeelects.eu/austria
UK (GB), Find Out Now poll:
Scenario: Restore Britain (RESTORE-*) and Your Party (YOUR~S&D) contest
REFORM~NI: 21% (-4)
CON~ECR: 18% (+2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 18% (-1)
LAB-S&D: 17% (+1)
LDEM-RE: 11% (+1)
...
+/- vs. 25 March 2026
Fieldwork: 15-16 April 2026
Sample size: 2,284
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
UK (Scotland), More in Common poll:
Scottish Parliament PR Vote election
SNP (Greens/EFA): 27% (-4)
LAB (S&D): 17% (+1)
REFORM (~NI): 17% (+1)
CON (~ECR): 13% (+1)
...
+/- vs. 30 January - 10 February 2026
Fieldwork: 24 March - 10 April 2026
Sample size: 1,046
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
UK (Scotland), More in Common poll:
Scottish Parliament FPTP Vote election
SNP (Greens/EFA): 32% (-1)
LAB (S&D): 19%
REFORM (~NI): 18%
CON (~ECR): 12% (+1)
LDEM (RE): 11%
...
+/- vs. 30 January - 10 February 2026
Fieldwork: 24 March - 10 April 2026
Sample size: 1,046
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
UK (GB), Freshwater Strategy poll:
REFORM~NI: 26% (-4)
LAB-S&D: 22% (+4)
CON~ECR: 19% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 15%
LDEM-RE: 13%
SNP-G/EFA: 2% (-1)
+/- vs. 27 February - 1 March 2026
Fieldwork: 10-12 April 2026
Sample size: 1,250
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
Lithuania, Spinter tyrimai poll:
TS LKD-EPP: 23% (+1)
LSDP-S&D: 14% (+3)
LS-RE: 14% (+1)
NA→PfE: 9% (-3)
LVŽS-ECR: 9% (-1)
DSVL-G/EFA: 7%
LP-RE: 5% (+1)
NS→ECR: 5%
+/- vs. 18-28 February 2026
Fieldwork: 18-28 March 2026
Sample size: 1,013
➤ europeelects.eu/lithuania
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We especially encourage women and GNC people to apply!
Bulgaria, Market Links poll:
Seat projection national parliament
Progressive Bulgaria-*: 109 (new)
GERB-SDS-EPP: 57 (-9)
PP-DB-RE|EPP: 37 (+1)
DPS-NN-NI: 21 (-8)
V-ESN: 16 (-17)
+/- vs. Last election result
Fieldwork: 07-14 April 2026
Sample size: 1003
➤ europeelects.eu/bulgaria
Bulgaria, Market Links poll:
PB-*: 37%
GERB-SDS-EPP: 21%
PP-DB-RE|EPP: 13%
DPS-NN-NI: 8%
V-ESN: 5%
Velichie-*: 4%
Siyanie-G/EFA: 3%
BSPOL-S&D: 2%
MECh-*: 2%
+/- vs. 17-21 March 2026
Fieldwork: 07-14 April 2026
Sample size: 1003
➤ europeelects.eu/bulgaria
Germany, YouGov poll:
AfD-ESN: 27% (+1)
CDU/CSU-EPP: 23% (-3)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 14% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 13% (-1)
LINKE-LEFT: 10% (+1)
FDP-RE: 4% (+1)
BSW-NI: 4% (+1)
+/- vs. 13-16 March 2026
Fieldwork: 10-13 April 2026
Sample size: 1,763
➤ europeelects.eu/germany
Poland, IBRiS poll:
KO-EPP|G/EFA: 34%
PiS-ECR: 25% (-1)
Kon-ESN|PfE: 16% (+2)
KKP-NI: 9% (+1)
Lewica-S&D: 7% (-1)
PSL-EPP: 4% (-1)
Razem-LEFT: 3%
PL2050-RE: 1% (-1)
+/- vs. 27-28 March 2026
Fieldwork: 08-13 April 2026
➤ europeelects.eu/poland
Poland, United Surveys poll:
KO-EPP|G/EFA: 32% (-1)
PiS-ECR: 25%
Kon-ESN|PfE: 15% (+1)
KKP-NI: 9%
Lewica-S&D: 8%
Razem-LEFT: 4%
PSL-EPP: 4% (-2)
PL2050-RE: 2%
+/- vs. 27-29 March 2026
Fieldwork: 10-12 April 2026
➤ europeelects.eu/poland
UK (GB), Find Out Now poll:
REFORM~NI: 26% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 20%
CON~ECR: 17%
LAB-S&D: 16%
LDEM-RE: 11%
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1% (-1)
+/- vs. 08-08 April 2026
Fieldwork: 15 April 2026
Sample size: 2,032
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
Spain, Ipsos poll:
PP-EPP: 31% (-3)
PSOE-S&D: 28% (-2)
VOX-PfE: 18% (+4)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
SALF-NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 2%
Podemos-LEFT: 2% (-1)
Junts-NI: 1% (-1)
...
+/- vs. 15-21 May 2025
Fieldwork: 23 March - 08 April 2026
Sample size: 1,058
➤ europeelects.eu/spain
Spain, Sigma Dos poll:
PP-EPP: 33% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 28% (+2)
VOX-PfE: 17% (-1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 8%
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
EAJ PNV-RE: 1%
Junts-NI: 1%
BNG-G/EFA: 1%
...
+/- vs. 23-27 February 2026
Fieldwork: 16-31 March 2026
Sample size: 1,958
➤ europeelects.eu/spain
Germany, INSA poll:
AfD-ESN: 26%
CDU/CSU-EPP: 25%
SPD-S&D: 13%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12%
LINKE-LEFT: 10.5% (-0.5)
BSW-NI: 4%
FDP-RE: 3.5% (+0.5)
+/- vs. 30 March - 02 April 2026
Fieldwork: 02-07 April 2026
Sample size: 2,002
➤ europeelects.eu/germany
Spain, Sigma Dos poll:
PP-EPP: 33% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 28% (+2)
VOX-PfE: 17% (-1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 8%
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
EAJ PNV-RE: 1%
Junts-NI: 1%
BNG-G/EFA: 1%
...
+/- vs. 23-27 February 2026
Fieldwork: 16-31 March 2026
Sample size: 1,958
➤ europeelects.eu/spain
🗳️ Conventional calendars have Mondays, Tuesdays; religious and civic holidays.
But there's obviously a much better way to structure the year ("Good morning, it is 10 days until the next Bulgarian national parliament election...").
Check out our electoral calendar: https://europeelects.eu/calendar
Türkiye, Piar:
CHP-S&D: 35%
AKP~NI: 32% (-1)
MHP~NI: 9%
DEM-S&D: 8% (-1)
İYİ-RE: 5% (-1)
ZP-*: 4%
YRP-*: 3%
+/- vs. 02-05 March 2026
Fieldwork: 03-06 April 2026
Sample size: 2440
➤ europeelects.eu/türkiye
Poland, OGB poll:
KO-EPP|G/EFA: 38%
PiS-ECR: 30% (+1)
Kon-ESN|PfE: 11% (-2)
KKP-NI: 10% (+1)
Lewica-S&D: 5%
Razem-LEFT: 3% (+1)
PSL-EPP: 2%
PL2050-RE: 1%
+/- vs. 11 - 16 March 2026
Fieldwork: 25 March - 04 April 2026
Sample size: 1000
➤ europeelects.eu/poland
Estonia, Norstat poll:
I-EPP: 24% (-1)
KE-RE|ECR: 23% (+2)
SDE-S&D: 17% (+3)
RE-RE: 13% (-1)
EKRE-PfE: 12% (-2)
PP→EPP: 6% (-1)
E200~RE: 2%
EER-G/EFA: 1%
+/- vs. 23-28 March 2026
Fieldwork: 30 March - 05 April 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ europeelects.eu/estonia
Hungary, Iránytű Intézet poll:
"Regardless of sympathy, who do you think will win the election?"
Tisza (EPP): 43%
Fidesz-KDNP (PfE): 40%
Do not know: 15%
Other party: 1%
Fieldwork: 31 March 2026 - 04 April 2026
Sample size: 1,000
UK (Scotland), Ipsos poll:
Independence referendum
Yes: 50% (-1)
No: 50% (+1)
+/- vs. 19-25 February 2026
Fieldwork: 26-31 March 2026
Sample size: 1,038
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
Hungary, Iránytű Institute poll:
TISZA-EPP: 51% (+1)
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 40% (+3)
MH-ESN: 4% (-2)
MKKP→G/EFA: 4% (-1)
DK-S&D: 1% (-1)
+/- vs. 02-10 February 2026
Fieldwork: 31 March 2026 - 04 April 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ europeelects.eu/hungary
UK (GB), More in Common poll:
REFORM~NI: 30%
LAB-S&D: 20% (+1)
CON~ECR: 19% (-2)
LDEM-RE: 12% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 12%
SNP-G/EFA: 2%
PC-G/EFA: 1%
+/- vs. 28-30 March 2026
Fieldwork: 02-07 April 2026
Sample size: 2,009
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
UK (Scotland), Ipsos poll:
Scottish Parliament PR Vote election
SNP (Greens/EFA): 29% (+3)
REFORM (~NI): 16% (+2)
SGP (Greens/EFA): 16%
LAB (S&D): 15% (-4)
CON (~ECR): 13% (+2)
LDEM (RE): 9% (-1)
+/- vs. 19-25 February 2026
Fieldwork: 26-31 March 2026
Sample size: 1,038
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
UK (Scotland), Ipsos poll:
Scottish Parliament FPTP Vote election
SNP (Greens/EFA): 39% (+3)
LAB (S&D): 15% (-5)
REFORM (~NI): 15% (-1)
CON (~ECR): 11% (+2)
LDEM (RE): 10%
SGP (Greens/EFA): 7%
+/- vs. 19-25 February 2026
Fieldwork: 26-31 March 2026
Sample size: 1,038
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
UK, YouGov poll:
REFORM~NI: 24% (+1)
CON~ECR: 19%
LAB-S&D: 16% (-2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 16% (-3)
LDEM-RE: 13% (+1)
RESTORE-*: 4% (new)
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1%
YOUR~S&D: 1% (new)
+/- vs. 29-30 March 2026
Fieldwork: 06-07 April 2026
Sample size: 2320
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
Germany, Forsa poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 26%
AfD-ESN: 26% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 15%
SPD-S&D: 12%
LINKE-LEFT: 10%
+/- vs. 24-30 March 2026
Fieldwork: 31 March - 02 April 2026
Sample size: 1,503
➤ europeelects.eu/germany
Croatia, Promocija plus poll:
HDZ-EPP: 35%
SDP-S&D: 27% (+1)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 14%
Most-ECR: 8% (+1)
Drito~ECR: 3%
DP~ECR: 2% (-1)
Centar-RE: 1%
IDS-RE: 1%
DOMiNO-ECR: 1%
PP-*: 1%
HSS-*: 1%
+/- vs. 02-04 March 2026
Fieldwork: 31 March - 02 April 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ europeelects.eu/croatia
Spain, 40dB poll:
PP-EPP: 31% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 29% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 19%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
Podemos-LEFT: 3%
SALF-NI: 2%
+/- vs. 20-23 February 2026
Fieldwork: 24-25 March 2026
Sample size: 2,000
➤ europeelects.eu/spain
Greece, Interview poll:
ND-EPP: 33% (-2)
PASOK - KINAL-S&D: 18% (+1)
EL-ECR: 7% (+1)
KKE-NI: 6%
PE-NI: 6% (+1)
MeRA25~LEFT: 4%
FL-PfE: 4%
SYRIZA-LEFT: 4%
DPK-RE: 3%
Niki-NI: 1% (-1)
NA~LEFT: 1% (-1)
+/- vs. 18-22 March 2026
Fieldwork: 01-06 April 2026
Sample size: 3,078
➤ europeelects.eu/greece
UK (GB), Good Growth Foundation poll:
REFORM~NI: 27% (-1)
LAB-S&D: 20% (-1)
CON~ECR: 19% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 15% (+3)
LDEM-RE: 12%
SNP-G/EFA: 2% (-1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%
+/- vs. 13-16 February 2026
Fieldwork: 27 March - 01 April 2026
Sample size: 2,005
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
Bulgaria, Trend poll:
PB-*: 33% (+2)
GERB-SDS-EPP: 19% (-1)
PP-DB-RE|EPP: 11% (-1)
DPS-NN-NI: 10% (-1)
V-ESN: 7% (-1)
BSPOL-S&D: 4%
Siyanie-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
MECh-*: 4% (+1)
ITN-ECR: 2% (-1)
...
+/- vs. 13-19 March 2026
Fieldwork: 13-16 April 2026
Sample size: 1004
➤ europeelects.eu/bulgaria
Bulgaria, Alpha Research poll:
PB-*: 34% (+3)
GERB-SDS-EPP: 20% (-1)
PP-DB-RE|EPP: 12% (+1)
DPS-NN-NI: 9% (-1)
V-ESN: 6% (-1)
BSPOL-S&D: 4%
Siyanie-G/EFA: 3%
Velichie-*: 3%
MECh-*: 3%
...
+/- vs. 19-26 March 2026
Fieldwork: 13-15 April 2026
Sample size: 1000
➤ europeelects.eu/bulgaria
Bulgaria, Myara poll:
PB-*: 35% (+4)
GERB-SDS-EPP: 19% (-1)
PP-DB-RE|EPP: 12% (-1)
DPS-NN-NI: 9% (-2)
V-ESN: 8%
BSPOL-S&D: 4%
Siyanie-G/EFA: 4% (+2)
MECh-*: 4%
Velichie-*: 2% (-1)
...
+/- vs. 07-16 March 2026
Fieldwork: 04-13 April 2026
Sample size: 1002
➤ europeelects.eu/bulgaria